Here's another fresh email from a colleague with his own personal view of the recent makati coup events:

about the recent soup opera (btw, soap opera is a hit in the local tv industry nowadays), i also don't know about the magdalo-magdiwang contingents. but myreading is that most of the mobilized rank-and-file soldiers came from cavite, rizal and presumably southern tagalog region.

as of last week, i heard reports that the so-called national recovery program was peddled to the populace with posters and the works simulating a soft-campaign for a national election.

i would imagine that if there is magdalo, there is a magdiwang faction. then again, the arroyo govt was closing in on some restive officers last week. it's
possible that the die was cast ahead of time, but looking at the schedule of the state of the nation address (sona) of gma, it was the best timing to
embarrass her.

i would dare say had the soup plotters mobilized more forces they could have dug deeper in makati. while the drama-comedy is exciting in tv and radio, the plotters were capable of blowing down the building, or at least gutting a big hole. in the 1989 coup, it became bloody when the rebels dug deep in makati and other secondary targets.

however, given the very limited forces, they could have been easily squashed. just a phone call to the ayalas, and a simple yes, the plotters would be
history.

looking back at may 2001 all over again, had the erap civilian loyalists closed ranks with the loyalist troops, this could have triggered a vicious military
attack from the sprouting arroyo govt. care to know who were the leading fugitives, i mean figures there?

i don't trust the gma administration, but i give credit to its inception as a product of a spontaneous democratic clamor against a very corrupt and sick erap
govt. while gma's govt has a lot of shortcomings, it is a world apart from erap's mayor-style presidency.

going back to the magdalo faction in reaching its commercial target, the strategist achieve its minimum agenda i believe. like in any political (or even
military) campaign, you set your minimum objectives and maximum objectives.

there you could subtly observe the dissonance. one faction, the magdalo, reached the minimum objective but was expousing the maximum objective (of removing gma and its military top brass). the way they presented their grievances, issues and analyses of the government was muddled.

i'm not discounting the fact that the soup could be re-ignited. but given the experience of the military services in dealing with such circumstances, i would
bet one of my balls it won't prosper.

unfortunately, the big winner of this soup opera does not mind. it's a win-win situation for him and his cohorts. didn't he get away scot free the last time
around? gademit cadet!

extending my creative juices, perhaps he was massaging a political scenario where he can be the running mate of gma. brilliant, huh?

:: Bing Monday, July 28, 2003 [+] ::
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